Author Archive

Supply Side Growth Slows.

Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 8/29/2015) – Store Sales year/year  +1.3%. Previous was +1.7%   PMI Manufacturing Index (August 2015) – Level 53.0. Previous was 53.8   ISM Manufacturing Index  (August 2015) –  Level  51.1. Previous was 52.7   Construction Spending  (July 2015) – Construction Spending month/month +0.7%. Previous revised up to +0.7% – […]

Regional Indicators down.

Chicago PMI  (August 2015) – Business Barometer  54.4. Previous was 54.7.   Dallas Federal Manufacturing Survey (August 2015) – General Activity Index -15.8. Previous was -4.6 This Index has been depressed lately by the temporary shut down of so many oil rigs. The 3 previous months were -20.0, -7.0, and -4.6.  The -15.8 was well […]

Inflation Contained.

Personal Income and Outlays (July 2015) – Personal Income month/month +0.4%. Previous was +0.4%. – Consumer Spending  month/month  +0.3%. Previous was +0.3% – PCE Price Index month/month  +0.1%. Previous was +0.2% – Core PCE price index  month/month  +0.1%. Previous was +0.1% – PCE Price Index year/year  +0.3%. Previous was +0.3% – Core PCE price index […]

2ndQ2015 GDP Revised to +3.7%

GDP (2ndQ2015) – Real GDP quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +3.7%. Previous estimate was +2.3%. Previous quarter was +0.6% – GDP price index quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +2.1%. Previous was revised down from +2.0% to +0.1%.   Jobless Claims (week ended 8/22/2015) – New Claims seasonally adjusted 271,000. Previous was 277,000 – New Claims, unadjusted, totaled […]

DGO Gains Modest.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 8/21/2015) – Purchase Index Week/Week +2.0%. Previous weeks were -1.0%, -4.0%, +3.0%, +0.8%, -0.1%, +1.0%, -8.0%, +7.0%, -4.0%, +1.0%. -4.0%, +10.0%, -3.0%, and +1.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week -1.0%. Previous weeks were +7.0%, +3.0%, +6.0%, +2.0%, -1.0%, +4.0%, +3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -7.0%, +7.0%, and -12.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week +0.2%. […]

Home Sales and Prices up in Sane Manner.

Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 8/22/2015) – Store Sales year/year +1.7%. Previous was +1.6%   FHFA House Price Index (June 2015) – month/month +0.2%. Previous was +0.5% – year/year   +5.6%. Previous was +5.7%   S&P Case-Shiller HPI  (June 2015) – 20-city, seasonally adjusted month/month -0.1%.  Previous was -0.1% – 20-city, not seasonally adjusted month/month […]

Fundamentals May See Irrelevant but..

Chicago Federal National Activity Index (July 2015) – Level +0.34. Previous was -0.07 – 3 Month Moving Average  +0.00. Previous was  -0.08. This is a weighted index using 85 different components.

Stronger US$ Hurting Exports?

PMI Manufacturing Index Flash (August 2015) – Level  52.9. Previous was 53.8. We may be seeing the negative effect that the stronger US $ is having on exports.

Existing Home Sales at 8 year High.

Jobless Claims (week ended 8/15/2015) – New Claims seasonally adjusted  277,000. Previous was 273,000 – New Claims  unadjusted 229,674  a decrease of 9,652 from previous – 4-week Moving Average seasonally adjusted   271,500. Previous was 266,000 Philadelphia Federal Reserve Business Outlook Survey  (August 2015) – General Business Conditions Index  8.3. Previous was 5.7   Existing Home […]

Inflation Contained.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 8/14/2015) – Purchase Index Week/Week -1.0%. Previous weeks were -4.0%, +3.0%, +0.8%, -0.1%, +1.0%, -8.0%, +7.0%, -4.0%, +1.0%. -4.0%, +10.0%, -3.0%, +1.0%, and -4.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week +7.0%. Previous weeks were +3.0%, +6.0%, +2.0%, -1.0%, +4.0%, +3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -7.0%, +7.0%, -12.0%, and -4.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week +3.6%. […]

 
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