THE BASIS POINT

Rates up again on better than expected October retail sales of +1.2%

 

Today’s October retail sales numbers are again positive and rates continue last week’s up trend as a result. GDP forecasts depend on an accelerating pace of consumer spending, thus the importance of today’s retail sales number which followed September’s .7% increase. October Retail Sales were up 1.2%, ex-auto it was +.4%. Meanwhile the October Empire State Index which measures manufacturing activity was down over 11%. Rates were down drastically earlier today, have since rebounded but are still down 28 basis points—if this holds, it translates into .125% higher rates.

 

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Comments [ 1 ]
  1. mortgages (FNMA 3.5) closed down 109 basis points. blood bath. if tues/wed PPI/CPI hotter, this rate spike will hold.

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