Jeffrey Lacker

No Fooling: Jobs up, inflation looms

On this April Fool’s Day, the only fools are those who bet on a worse jobs report. Stocks are up (S&P +11, Dow +92) and bonds are slightly down (10yr Note -16 bps, FNMA 30yr 4% coupon -9 bps) after the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that non-farm payrolls rose 216k in March and the

Fed: Overnight Rates Same, MBS Purchases Extended Through 1Q2010

The big news from today’s Fed meeting isn’t that they’re keeping overnight Fed Funds Rate the same at 0-.25% but that the mortgage bond purchase program is being extended through the first quarter of 2010. Same $1.25t target amount of purchases, but the extension gives markets more time to get used to less Fed help

Consumer Spending Up, Will Fed Stop MBS Buys?

My father used to say, “It’s OK to kiss a nun, but don’t get into the habit.” Speaking of habits, the bond market has become accustomed to the Fed buying mortgages. What if they stopped? Federal Reserve President Lacker suggested the Fed may not need to spend the full amount it pledged ($1.25 trillion, for

FOMC Announcement: No Overnight Rate Change, Slight Inflation Bias

Below is the full text of the Fed’s FOMC decision from their two-day meeting that just ended. They kept short-term Discount and Fed Funds rates the same and said that ‘inflation will remain subdued for some time’ but this is a slight change from the April statement that said ‘sees some risk that inflation could

Fed Leaves Rates Alone, Signals Worst May Be Over?

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the economy has continued to contract, though the pace of contraction appears to be somewhat slower. Household spending has shown signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Weak sales prospects and difficulties in