Trade Balance

 

Hi everyone, welcome to my first WeeklyBasis of 2007. There’s not much spread between longer-term fixed and shorter-term ARM rates. This is because the Fed Funds Rate – an overnight rate that’s a benchmark for shorter-term loans – is currently higher than mortgage and Treasury bond yields which serve as benchmarks for longer-term loans. The

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We’re up another .125% on fixed and ARM rates this week, bringing the four-week increase to about .5%. Jobs growth came in weaker on Friday (which is usually good for rates), but wages came in higher. This was interpreted as another inflation signal, and rates rose accordingly. On Tuesday, the Fed made it’s twelfth .25%

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Rates increased by about 20 basis points Friday on news that unemployment held at 6.1% (instead of the predicted increase to 6.2%). This indication that the job market could be stabilizing caused investors to sell bonds in favor of stocks, driving yields up. However, this was more of a trading phenomenon than a fundamental shift.

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