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Housing Remains Soft. Trade Deficit down.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 1/2/2014) – Purchase Index Week/Week -5.0%. Previous weeks were +1.0%, -7.0%, +1.0%, +3.0%, -10.0%, +12.0%, +1.0%, +3.0%, -5.0%, -5.0%, -1.0%, and +2.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week -12.0%. Previous weeks were +1.0%, +0.0%, +13.0%, -13%, -4.0%, -6.0%, -11.0% -6.0%, -7.0%, +23.0%, and +11.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week -9.1%. Previous weeks were […]

 

Fundamentals Weaker. Treasuries Rally on Uncertainty.

Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 1/3/2015) – Store Sales year/year  +4.3%. Previous was +5.4%   PMI Services Index (December 2014) – Level 53.3. Previous was 56.2   Factory Orders (November 2014) – Factory Orders month/month  -0.7%, Previous was -0.7%   ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (December 2014) – Composite Index Composite Index   56.2. Previous was 59.3 […]

 

Modest Supply Side Softness

PMI Manufacturing Index (December 2014) – Index level 53.9. Previous was 54.8   ISM Manufacturing Index (December 2014) – Index level 55.5. Previous was 58.7   Construction Spending (November 2014) – Construction Spending month/month -0.3%. Previous was +1.2%.

 

Consumer Confidence up.

ICSC-Goldman Chain Store Sales (week ended 12/27/2014) – Store Sales week/week  0.0%. Previous was +3.4% – Store Sales year/year +2.2%. Previous was +3.1%   Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 12/27/2014) – Store Sales year/year +5.4%. Previous was +5.3%.   S&P Case-Shiller HPI (October 2014) – 20-city, seasonally adjusted month/month +0.8%. Previous was +0.2% – […]

 

No BLS this Week

Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (December 2014) – Business Activity Index  4.1. Previous was 10.5 – Production Index 15.8. Previous was 6. Note that the BLS Employment Situation Report normally issued on the 1st Friday of the month will not be released until 1/9/2015 because of the New Year’s Holiday.

 

Housing Still Weak.

MBA Purchase Applications (week ended 12/19/2014) – Purchase Index Week/Week +1.0%. Previous weeks were -7.0%, +1.0%, +3.0%, -10.0%, +12.0%, +1.0%, +3.0%, -5.0%, -5.0%, -1.0%, +2.0%, and +0.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week +1.0%. Previous weeks were +0.0%, +13.0%, -13%, -4.0%, -6.0%, -11.0% -6.0%, -7.0%, +23.0%, +11.0%, and +5.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week +0.9%. Previous weeks were […]

 

GDP +5.0%

GDP (3rdQ2014) – Real GDP quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +5.0%. Previous was +3.9% – GDP price index quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +1.4%. Previous was +1.4%. ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (week ended 12/20/2014) – Store Sales week/week +3.4%. Previous was 3.0% – Store Sales year/year +3.1%. Previous was +1.1%. Redbook (week ended 12/20/2014) – Store Sales year/year […]

 

Existing Home Sales Weak.

Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index (November 2014) – Index level 0.73. Previous was 0.31 – 3 Month Moving Average 0.48. Previous was -0.01.   Existing Home Sales (November 2014) – Existing Home Sales (seasonally adjusted, annualized) 4,930,000. Previous was 5,520,000. Housing is weak.

 

Mixed Fundamentals.

Jobless Claims (week ended 12/13/2014) – New Claims (seasonally adjusted) 289,000. Previous was 294,000 – New Claims unadjusted, totaled 326,930 a decrease of 61,841 from the previous week – 4-week Moving Average (seasonally adjusted)  298,750. Previous was 299,500.   PMI Services Flash (December 2014) – Level 53.6. Previous was 56.3. Growing but at a slower […]

 

CPI lower.

Consumer Price Index (November 2014) – CPI month/month -0.3%. Previous was +0.0% – CPI year/year  +1.3%  Previous was +1.7%. – CPI core (less food & energy) month/month  +0.1%. Previous was +0.2% – CPI core (less food & energy) year/year   +1.7%. Previous was +1.8%. Housing and medical care were more expensive. Gasoline prices fell substantially.   […]

 
 
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