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Encouraging ADP Private Jobs.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 3/28/2014) – Purchase Index Week/Week +1.0%. Previous weeks were +3.0%, -1.0%, -1.0%, +9.0%, -4.0%, -6.0%, -5.0%, -4.0%, +2.0%, -4.0%, +12.0%, and -1.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week -3.0%. Previous weeks were -8.0%, -1.0%, -3.0%, +10.0%, -11.0%, -3.0%, -0.2%, +3.0%, -2.0%, +10.0%, and +11.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week -1.2%. Previous weeks were […]

 

Manufacturing Growing

ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (week ended 3/29/2014) – Store Sales week/week  +3.6%. Previous was -1.5% – Store Sales year/year  +0.6%. Previous was +1.7% Redbook Store Sales (week ended 3/29/2014) – Store Sales year/year +2.3%. Previous was +3.1%. The movable nature of Easter (which is 3 weeks later this year than last year) affects this data. The Consumer […]

 

Chicago down, Texas up.

Chicago PMI (March 2014) – Business Barometer Index 55.9. Previous was 59.8. Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (March 2013) – Business Activity Index 4.9.  Previous was 0.3 – Production Index 17.1. Previous was 10.8. Manufacturing in Texas has increased 11 consecutive months.

 

Purchase Applications -17% Year/Year.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 3/21/2014) – Purchase Index Week/Week +3.0%. Previous weeks were -1.0%, -1.0%, +9.0%, -4.0%, -6.0%, -5.0%, -4.0%, +2.0%, -4.0%, +12.0%, -1.0%, and -4.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week -8.0%. Previous weeks were -1.0%, -3.0%, +10.0%, -11.0%, -3.0%, -0.2%, +3.0%, -2.0%, +10.0%, +11.0%, and +5.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week -3.5%. Previous weeks were […]

 

New Home Sales down, Prices up.

ICSC-Goldman Store Sales (week ended 3/22/2014) – Store Sales week/week -1.5%. Previous was +0.7% – Store Sales year/year +1.7%. Previous was +1.5% Redbook Store Sales (week ended 3/22/2014) – Store Sales year/year +3.1%. Previous was +2.8% FHFA House Price Index  (January 2014) – Month/Month +0.5%. Previous was +0.7% – Year/Year +7.4 %. Previous was +7.5% […]

 

Manufacturing Recovers Previous Month’s Loss.

Industrial Production (February 2014) – Production Month/Month +0.6%. Previous was -0.2% – Capacity Utilization 78.8%. Previous was 78.5% – Manufacturing Month/Month +0.8%. Previous was -0.8%. The important number is that Manufacturing recovered the loss from the previous month.  Because there had been so much bad weather in most of the country it is difficult to […]

 

Modestly Positive Fundamantals

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index  (February 2014) – level 91.4. Previous was 94.1. This is a survey index.  The largest source of concern expressed by Small Business owners was sales expectations. ICSC-Goldman Chain Store Sales (week ended 3/8/2014) – Store Sales week/week +1.3%. Previous was +0.3% – Store Sales year/year +2.1 %. Previous was +1.5% […]

 

Weak Private Jobs. Weak Supply Side.

MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 2/28/2014) – Purchase Index Week/Week +9.0%. Previous weeks were -4.0%, -6.0%, -5.0%, -4.0%, +2.0%, -4.0%, +12.0%, -1.0%, -4.0%, -6.0%, +1.0%, and -4.0%. – Refinance Index Week/Week +10.0%. Previous weeks were -11.0%, -3.0%, -0.2%, +3.0%, -2.0%, +10.0%, +11.0%, +5.0%, -8.0%, +2.0%, and -18.0%. – Composite Index Week/Week +9.4%. Previous weeks were […]

 

Consumer Spending Flat

 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales  (week ended 3/1/2014) – Store Sales Week/Week +0.3%. Previous was -0.6% – Store Sales Year/Year +1.5%. Previous was +1.4% Redbook Store Sales (week ended 3/1/2014) – Store Sales Year/Year +2.9%. Previous was +2.9%. The Consumer Metrics Institute Absolute Demand Index which measures online shopping has been flat for 8 days after falling […]

 

Some Positve Fundamentals Today.

Personal Income and Outlays (January 2014) – Personal Income Month/Month  +0.3%. Previous was revised to +0.0% – Consumer Spending Month/Month +0.4%. Previous was revised to +0.1% – PCE Price Index Month/Month  +0.3%. Previous was revised to -0.1% – Core PCE price index  Month/Month +0.1% – Personal Income Year/Year +4.1%. Previous was revised to -0.7% – […]

 
 
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