Manufacturing Recession Has Ended.
Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 3/19/2016)
– Store Sales year/year +0.8%. Previous was +0.6%
This is slow growth and, to the extent that Redbook is a measure of overall Retail sales, a disappointing sign for 1stQ2016GDP.
FHFA House Price Index (January 2016)
– Prices month/month +0.5%. Previous was +0.5%
– Prices year/year +6.0%. Previous was +5.7%.
These are prices only for homes purchased with FNMA or FHLMC loans.
Richmond Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index (March 2016)
– Index level 22. Previous was -4.
This makes growth in 3 regional Fed manufacturing indices.
PMI Manufacturing Index Flash (March 2016)
– Index level 51.4. Previous was 51.0.
This and regional Fed manufacturing indices show manufacturing expanding again after two weak quarters.